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- Sales Rank: #2202248 in Books
- Published on: 2010-11-05
- Binding: Hardcover
Most helpful customer reviews
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Debunking every common investment wisdom
By Gderf
Ken Fisher debunks 50 items of popular common investment wisdom, often dispensed by other advisors. He covers, finance, sociology, politics, economics, concluding that little matters to market action.
It starts with a very shallow analysis of bond investment, neglecting ratings, term, or economic conditions to debunk the idea that bonds are safer than stocks. Sometimes they are. It would be just as easy to debunk the alternative thesis. Even his hated annuities have had their day and will again, though he's probably right on the indexed kind, which shouldn't be called annuities. Fisher forgets that there are no sure things, either positive or negative. Early on he says everything is a matter of probabilities, which he promptly forgets in his analysis of fundamentals. He attempts to debunk techniques like dollar cost averaging that serve a few disciplined investors very well. I wish I had been among them. Covered calls and other derivatives don't fit in Fisher's field of equities management and so must be no good.
He wants investors to ignore economic conditions and government policies such as inflation and wage rates. Many studies show inverse correlation between interest rates and stock prices as well as bonds. He denies the importance of consumerism that has driven markets for decades. He claims that natural disasters and terrorism don't scare the market, an easy point to make as it's occasionally right. The only exception to this indifferent attitude is a recognition of the importance of the global economy, which he reduces to foreign stocks.
He touches on banking regulations. There is ambivalent advice on “don't fight the Fed.” Most interesting for current conditions is that Fisher sees no market effect from a fed tightening operation. In fact the market reacts, sometimes violently, each time the Fed chairperson opens her mouth.
There is a bit of amateur psychology as he tries behavioral analysis, concluding that well rested investors are not better than tired ones and instructions on how to spot a fraudulent advisor.
He enters the political arena with national debt and trade deficit. You guessed it – no effect. Perhaps the political viewpoints seems myopic because Fisher is concerned only with stock valuation rather than the economic condition of the population at large.
There's little of instructional value here. Of course that wouldn't be good for business. The book is a self serving inducement to the unwary to invest under any and all conditions. The only conclusion to be drawn from this is that nothing matters to the stock market. That's the biggest bunk of them all.
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Daniel A. Nelson
Excellent! I would highly recommend the book to any investor.
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Good Bathroom Reading
By Lee Balliet
The book contains several dozen common myths and mistakes that haunt a lot of investors. No in-depth analysis; but a fair amount of common sense that makes for "good bathroom reading"(each topic is covered in a few paragraphs).
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